Bitcoin (BTC) Price Weekly Forecast: Risk Of Significant Downside Break
- After a short term upside correction, bitcoin price failed to surpass $ 10,200 against the US Dollar.
- The price formed a double top near the $ 10,200 level and declined below the $ 10,000 support.
- There is a crucial bearish trend line forming with resistance near $ 10,350 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
- The pair could breakdown if it continues to struggle near $ 10,000, $ 10,200 and $ 10,400.
Bitcoin price is currently under pressure after it failed again near $ 10,200 against the US Dollar. BTC price could decline significantly if it breaks the $ 9,000 support area.
Bitcoin Price Weekly Analysis (BTC)
This past week, there were mostly bearish moves in bitcoin price below the $ 10,400 pivot level against the US Dollar. The BTC/USD pair attempted an upside correction above the $ 10,000 level, but the $ 10,200 level acted as a strong resistance. Moreover, there were two attempts this past week to clear the $ 10,200 resistance, but the bulls failed to gain momentum. As a result, there was a break below $ 10,000 and the price settled well below the 100 simple moving average (4-hours).
The price recently traded below the $ 9,500 support and formed a new swing low near $ 9,269. It is currently consolidating losses, with an immediate resistance near the $ 9,700 level. Moreover, the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $ 11,092 high to $ 9,269 low is also near the $ 9,730 level to act as a resistance. More importantly, there is a crucial bearish trend line forming with resistance near $ 10,350 on the 4-hours chart of the BTC/USD pair.
The trend line coincides with the 100 simple moving average (4-hours) plus the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $ 11,092 high to $ 9,269 low. Therefore, it won’t be easy for the bulls to push the price above the $ 10,200 and $ 10,400 resistance levels. Above $ 10,400, the price could recover towards the $ 11,000 resistance level.
On the downside, there are a few supports near the $ 9,200 and $ 9,100 levels. If the price continues to struggle below the $ 10,000 and $ 10,200 levels, there is a risk of a sharp decline. The main support is near $ 9,000, below which the price could tumble towards the $ 8,450 level.
Looking at the chart, bitcoin price is clearly trading with a bearish bias below the $ 10,000 and $ 10,200 resistance levels. Until there is a daily close above $ 10,400, there are chances of more downsides below $ 9,000.
4 hours MACD – The MACD for BTC/USD is currently placed in the bearish zone.
4 hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently recovering above the 40 level.
Major Support Level – $ 9,100
Major Resistance Level – $ 10,400
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